Sloan Workshop

    Workshop on the Known, the Unknown, and the Unknowable

    What Have We Learned? What Should Be Explored?


October 26 - 27, 2000, Columbia University

Sponsored by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation

This workshop is by invitation only


Organizing Committee:

Simon Levin, Princeton

 

David McLaughlin, Courant

 

Joseph Traub, Chair, Columbia

The following papers can be downloaded:

 

Links:


AGENDA

Thursday 26 October

 

8:00 AM

Continental breakfast

 

Registration

 

 

Session Chair:

Joseph Traub

9:00 AM

Welcome, participant introductions, and purposes of the meeting, Joseph Traub, Columbia

 

Status and goals of Sloan programs, Jesse Ausubel, Program Director, Sloan Foundation

 

Remarks on limits to knowledge, Ralph Gomory, President, Sloan Foundation

   
 

General discussion

   

10:15 AM

Break

   

10:30 AM

Theme 1: Scaling and Simplification

Brief issues statement: System dynamics involve interactions among processes acting on diverse scales of space, time, and organizational complexity.  Yet not every detail of interaction is important to "know" important behavior, and indeed many aspects, both macroscopic and microscopic, appear unknowable.  At macroscopic scales, unknowable (?)  stochastic perturbations can force systems, which will survive only if they are sufficiently adaptive to absorb and respond to these influences.  At the microscopic scale, the multiplicity and complexity of interactions can make detailed knowledge impossible.  To what extent in various fields do we have ways that enable us to scale from small to large and back, representing the dynamics of aggregates, for example, in terms of the statistical dynamics of populations of individual agents or units?  What do we understand in various fields about how to define, identify, and suppress irrelevant detail?

 

Opening statements:

15 minutes each

   

Ecology:

Simon Levin

Oceanography:

Andrew Solow

Mathematics:

David McLaughlin

Genotype-Phenotype Relationships:

Michael Cummings

   
 

Discussion

   

12:15 PM:

Lunch

   

Session Chair:

David McLaughlin

1:15 PM

Theme  2: Data Limitations

In some fields, including parts of biology and physics, data come from controlled experiment, allowing close matching between theory and experimental results.  Experimental design is, of course, subject to a multitude of biases that may limit knowledge.  At least as important, in many fields and subfields, including cosmology, oceanography,macroevolution, and many social sciences, controlled experiments are impossible.  What facts are obtainable represent samples of what we would like to know in ways whose biases themselves may be hard to know.  For example, knowledge of classical history depends substantially on one man, Herodotus, and we do not know how additional accounts would change understanding of Greece, Persia, Babylon, and Egypt.  Strongly socially constructed observations, accidental experiments, and often a spare historical record form much of the known.  Systems may also be simply too large or long-lived to observe. At a theoretical level, what we see or live with may reflect bifurcations and the influence of frozen historical accidents, and represent one realization of stochastic processes that admit many possibilities. An example is the question of whether the genetic code is the only code possible in some broad sense.

Opening statements:

15 minutes each

   

 History of Science:

Jed Buchwald

Prehistoric Linguistics:

Chris Scarre

Anthropology:

Kim Hopper

Philosophy of Science:

Deborah Mayo

   

 

Discussion

   

3:00 PM

Break

   

3:15 PM

Data Limitations (continued)

   

Economics:

John Rust

Computational Economics/Finance:

Shyam Sunder

Genetics:

David Thaler

Evolutionary Theory:

Cesare Marchetti

Cosmology:

Piet Hut

   
 

Discussion

   

5:30 PM

Adjourn

 

Reception and dinner

   

Friday 27 October

 
   

8:00 AM

Continental breakfast

   

Session Chair:

Simon Levin

8:45 AM

Theme 3: Formal Systems, Determinism, and Scientific Knowledge

From seminal papers of Goedel and Turing, the 20th century witnessed a stream of "impossibility" results, including undecidability, non-computability, and intractability.  Although these results may limit knowledge, their significance or implications for what is unknowable in a range of fields remains unclear.  Several results concern formal (mathematical) systems.  Although science uses mathematics, it also differs from mathematics.  Can we up the ante from Goedel's analysis of formal systems and prove impossibility results in specific areas of physical science?  What about in fields of life sciences such as cellular and molecular biology, where reliance on modeling and formal systems remains much less?  What about financial or political systems?

                              

Opening statements:

15 minutes each

   

Computer Science:

Joseph Traub

Computational Biology:

Marcelo Magnasco

Genetics:

Michael Clegg

   
 

Discussion

   

 10:15 AM

Break

   

10:30 AM

Formal Systems, Determinism, and Scientific Knowledge (continued)

   

Opening statements

15 minutes each

   

Mathematics:

David Ruelle

Empirical Evidence:

Aris Spanos

Quantum Mechanics:

James Hartle

   

12:00 PM

Lunch

   

Session Chair:

Jesse Ausubel

1:00 PM

Public Conceptions and Misconceptions of the Known the Unknown, the Unknowable: Are There Important Issues for Public Understanding?

   

Discussants:

Sarah Boxer, New York Times

 

Denise Caruso, Hybrid Vigor Institute

 

George Johnson, author, Fire in the Mind

 

Robert Pool, author, Beyond Engineering

   

2:15 PM

Break

   

Session chair:

Jesse Ausubel

2:30 PM

Final session: What Have We Learned?  What Should Be Explored?

  • Within the disciplines so far plumbed
  • In other fields such as cosmology, demography,   political science
   

4:30 PM

Adjourn